| Hanley & Everyone Else |
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| At the Plate | |||||||||||||||
| Written by John Toner | |||||||||||||||
| Monday, 25 January 2010 07:52 | |||||||||||||||
Hanley Ramirez is the class at short stop. Challenges from Reyes and Rollins are long gone. The bigger question is can I justify taking Hanley #1 overall over Pujols because of the big drop off from #1 to #2 at SS?
I can’t make that leap since Albert’s numbers are too good to pass up but Ramirez is not a bad fallback option at #2. Until I actually see Reyes running full speed in a spring training game, I am not going to speculate on his 2010 projection
1) Hanley Ramirez - Florida - Normally I would take a hard look at A-Rod as my overall #2 fantasy pick for 2010 but the disparity between #1 and #2 at SS helps me make my decision. The lineup is the only issue here but Oh what might have been if those Red Sox trade rumors were actually true (before the Scutaro signing). (2010 projected fantasy rating is 85)
2) Jimmy Rollins - Philadelphia - With all things being equal, I expect a better 2010 from Rollins based solely on the belief that he will not duplicate the horrid start that he had in 09. In my view, a 2007 type year is no longer realistic but Rollins is still #2 on this list (2010 projected fantasy rating is 71) 3) Troy Tulowitzki - Colorado - It is amazing how similar 2007 and 2009 were for Tulowitzki. That trend makes me believe that 2008 was an aberration. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 69)
4) Derek Jeter - New York Yankees - Be very careful here. If you expect 2010 to be the same as last year for Jeter then I think you will be disappointed. I have always loved Jeter’s across-the-board fantasy production but I can’t expect another vintage Jeter year especially at the age of 35. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 67)
5) Asdrubal Cabrera - Cleveland - Dual 2B/SS eligibility boosts value here. Cabrera had arthroscopic surgery on his right elbow but is expected to be fully recovered by spring. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 59)
6) Yunel Escobar - Atlanta - Escobar appears to be coming into his prime. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 59)
7) Jason Bartlett - Tampa Bay - I expect Bartlett’s numbers to take a hit from his 2009 career year but I will also take into account that he had missed some time due to injury with only 500 at bats. Speed is definitely there and the big question is whether we continue to see some power production going forward. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 59)
8) Alexi Ramirez - Chicago White Sox - 2nd half 2009 slump has tempered my enthusiasm on Ramirez. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 57)
9) Miguel Tejada - Baltimore - I have to admit, I like the return to the Orioles, fantasy wise, for Tejada. He will be a part of a good young lineup and Camden Yards will have a positive impact. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 58)
10) Elvis Andrus - Texas - I might be conservative here but due to lack of power I do not give Andrus much of a boost for playing in Arlington. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 56)
11) Ryan Theriot - Chicago Cubs - Look for a move to 2B to make room for Starlin Castro possibly in 2010 but most assuredly in 2011. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 54)
12) Orlando Cabrera - Free agent - I still believe Cabrera has something to offer fantasy wise at 35 but there does not appear to be a big market for him. There is talk of Cabrera playing 2B for the Nationals. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 53)
13) Jhonny Peralta - Cleveland - A disappointing 2009. The biggest mystery is why did Peralta‘s run total drop so dramatically from 104 in 08 to 57 in 09?. Lineup change and 22 point AVG drop had an impact but not enough to justify the drop especially when at bats were the same and RBI production was steady (89 in 08 and 83 in 09). (2010 projected fantasy rating is 52)
14) Stephen Drew - Arizona - (2010 projected fantasy rating is 51)
15) Rafael Furcal - LA Dodgers - Furcal’s days as an elite fantasy SS are gone. For evidence, just take a look at the SB drop-off from 06 (37) to 07 (25) to 09 (12) while taking 2008 out of the equation because of time off due to injury. (2010 projected fantasy rating is 51)
INC) Jose Reyes - New York Mets - There are reports that October hamstring surgery went well for Reyes and that he will be running full speed soon. I will believe it when I see it. I cannot speculate on Reyes’s 2010 until I feel confident that he can run full out since his whole game is at the mercy of his legs.
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Comments (5)
Hardy Berger
said:
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JJ Hardy has to be a sleeper His right handed bat in that sea of lefties and change of scenery might all add up to him being a sleeper and his decent walk totals increase his value in h2h leagues as well. I can see him being in the 10-15 range on this list. By all accounts Reyes is fully healed but the time off might hinder his play a bit. As long as he is healthy I would reach for him in the top 5, probably top 3 this year. |
john toner
said:
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... For E. Aybar, I am not giving him full credit for his 2009 .312 AVG. He is lifetime .285. Once again his HR and RBI are not great and his R and SB don't blow me away. My projection for 2010 is .286 AVG, 6 HR, 60 RBI, 72 R and 13 SB which gives him a fantasy rating of 50 |
john toner
said:
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... For A. Escobar, one thing I learned from doing these projections is not to assume someone is a .300 hitter umtil I see it for at least a full season in the majors. I also would like to see more in the power categories. My projection for 2010 is .284 AVG, 4 HR, 42 RBI, 70 R and 30 SB. With those numbers, his fantasy rating is 51 so he is right there with Drew and Furcal in my view |
