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On The Black
Written by Craig Neal   
Thursday, 07 January 2010 18:56

 

King Felix (AP)

 

…Just like that.  The powers that be in the AL West are shifting, not just in reality, but fantasy-wise too.  Here are my rankings of the starting pitching staffs of each team in the division and who will be making a fantasy impact this year.  Let’s just say I don’t think the Halos will be winning the division for the 4th straight season.

 

 

#1 - Seattle Mariners

 

Everyone knows how dominant King Felix is, finally living up to the hype, and I've already covered Cliff Lee.  You’re going to be drafting this nasty 1-2 punch no matter what as top 15 starters.  I think Ryan Rowland-Smith is going to be a solid option for the back tier of your rotation and will show improvements in the K/9 department this year given a full season of starting.  His ratios the past couple years have been good too (under 4 ERA in the AL not too shabby).  I’ve never really liked Ian Snell, but he showed promise last year when you compare his numbers in Seattle vs. what he did with Pittsburgh.  And even though last year’s numbers don’t show it, Snell’s been known to strike a few batters out…still a waiver wire pickup at best.   Another guy to keep your eye on is Doug Fister, who debuted last August and will be fighting for a spot in this year’s rotation.

 

 

2009 Statistics

 

 

NAME

GP

GS

W

L

QS

IP

H

HR

BB

SO

K/9

WHIP

ERA

F. Hernandez

34

34

19

5

29

238.2

200

15

71

217

8.18

1.14

2.49

C. Lee

34

34

14

13

24

231.2

245

17

43

181

7.03

1.24

3.22

R. Rowland-Smith

15

15

5

4

9

96.1

87

9

27

52

4.86

1.18

3.74

Jason Vargas

23

14

3

6

3

91.2

98

16

24

54

5.3

1.33

4.91

Ian Snell

27

27

7

10

13

145

148

14

83

89

5.52

1.59

4.84

Garrett Olson

31

11

3

5

3

80.1

79

19

34

47

5.27

1.41

5.6

Luke French

15

12

4

5

3

67.1

87

11

28

42

5.61

1.71

5.21

D. Fister

11

10

3

4

5

61

63

11

15

36

5.31

1.28

4.13

 

 

#2 - Oakland Athletics

 

Can yoy say I love the 80’s???  Outside of Justin Duchscherer who’s coming back after injury a year ago, everyone on this staff is a young gun.  So that means there can be a lot of upside with this staff and a lot of bust-side too.  By the way, I think J-Duke is a bottom tier starter at best, don’t think he can repeat his spectacular 2008 campaign, make him a late draft gamble at best if you wish.  I think any of these other guys could be middle tier starters on your fantasy teams, starting with Dallas Braden, who if not for a freak foot rash injury last year, would’ve had a pretty decent overall statistical season, in the like of 20+ QS.  Brett Anderson finished off his rookie season nicely with a 4-1 record and 2.20 ERA in his final 5 starts.  A 7.7 K/9 is tasty too, but temper expectations knowing he will only be 22 years old this season.  Also 22, is Trevor Cahill, who gave up 27 long balls in his rookie campaign.  Chicks dig the long ball…from hitters, and I’m not as high on him with the low K’s and potential for high ratios.  Both Gio Gonzalez and Vin Mazzaro are a little wild (check out those WHIPS) but Gonzalez is always worth a gamble when you have a K/9 over 9.  Also keep an eye on Josh Outman on the waiver wire who will be returning from Tommy John surgery in midseason, he was having a very solid season before getting injured.

 

 

2009 Statisics

 

 

NAME

GP

GS

W

L

QS

IP

H

HR

BB

SO

K/9

WHIP

ERA

Trevor Cahill

32

32

10

13

15

178.2

185

27

72

90

4.53

1.44

4.63

B. Anderson

30

30

11

11

13

175.1

180

20

45

150

7.7

1.28

4.06

Dallas Braden

22

22

8

9

15

136.2

144

9

42

81

5.33

1.36

3.89

Gio Gonzalez

20

17

6

7

6

98.2

113

14

56

109

9.94

1.71

5.75

Vin Mazzaro

17

17

4

9

4

91.1

120

12

39

59

5.81

1.74

5.32

Josh Outman

14

12

4

1

7

67.1

53

9

25

53

7.08

1.16

3.48

Dana Eveland

13

9

2

4

1

44

70

4

26

22

4.5

2.18

7.16

 

 

#3 - LA Angels

 

I really only like Jered Weaver from this rotation, as he will be entering his peak years coming off an excellent 2009.  I would draft him as a top 20 starter, with expectations that he could improve in every statistical category.  Everyone else?  Eh…Scott Kazmir actually did pitch great for LA after coming over from Tampa, so I think he will provide great value for where he’s most likely going to be drafted in 2010.  I don’t think the Angels are going to be winning as many games this year, and that’s why I want no part in drafting Joe Saunders, I mean 13 QS out of 31 starts?  1.43 WHIP?  Less than 5 K/9?  No thanks.  2008 was a breakout year for Ervin Santana, 2009 was not.  The potential for a CY Young season is still there, which makes me think he will be overvalued in many drafts this year…stay healthy my friend.  Matt Palmer, assuming he gets the 5th starter gig, is a waiver wire pickup at best in standard leagues.

 

 

2009 Statistics

 

 

NAME

GP

GS

W

L

QS

IP

H

HR

BB

SO

K/9

WHIP

ERA

Jered Weaver

33

33

16

8

20

211

196

26

66

174

7.42

1.24

3.75

Joe Saunders

31

31

16

7

13

186

202

29

64

101

4.89

1.43

4.6

Ervin Santana

24

23

8

8

11

139.2

159

24

47

107

6.89

1.47

5.03

Matt Palmer

40

13

11

2

4

121.1

105

12

55

69

5.12

1.32

3.93

Scott Kazmir

26

26

10

9

14

147.1

149

16

60

117

7.15

1.42

4.89

S. O'Sullivan

12

10

4

2

2

51.2

60

12

16

29

5.05

1.47

5.92

 

 

#4 - Texas Rangers

 

I don’t like what I see here, but then again has anyone in recent memory liked a pitcher in Arlington???  I’ve already covered Rich Harden.  The only reason why I kind of like Scott Feldman is that I was there for his best game last season (@TB, 7 IP, 0 R, 11 K).  Still pretty young and capable of putting of middle tier starter stats, just don’t have too high expectations, I seriously doubt that many wins again, wins are unpredictable anyways.   Outside of his gross ratios, Derek Holland probably has the next best stuff on this staff; I expect those ratios to come down, still not draftable until late though.  The other guys, well…let’s just keep moving.  And if CJ Wilson becoming a starter turns to reality, I would like to see him prove himself first before drafting.

 

 

2009 Statistics

 

 

NAME

GP

GS

W

L

QS

IP

H

HR

BB

SO

K/9

WHIP

ERA

Scott Feldman

34

31

17

8

18

189.2

178

18

65

113

5.36

1.28

4.08

Derek Holland

33

21

8

13

4

138.1

160

26

47

107

6.96

1.5

6.12

Tommy Hunter

19

19

9

6

8

112

113

13

33

64

5.14

1.3

4.1

B. McCarthy

17

17

7

4

7

97.1

96

13

36

65

6.01

1.36

4.62

Matt Harrison

11

11

4

5

2

63.1

81

9

23

34

4.83

1.64

6.11

Rich Harden

26

26

9

9

14

141

122

23

67

171

10.91

1.34

4.09

 

 


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Comments (2)add comment

Dan Snyder said:

Dan Snyder
...
Feliz had only 108.1 IP last year between Triple-A (77.1) and Arlington (31.0). He appeared in 25 games in Triple-A, 13 of which he started. Nolan Ryan said a couple months ago that Feliz would enter spring training as part of the rotation, but that doesn't mean he'll be a starter come Opening Day. A full season of starting is out of the question for this year - he'll likely see time in rotation as well as the bullpen to keep his innings down. In fantasy leagues that feature Holds, Feliz will be much more valuable.
 
January 10, 2010
Votes: +0

Evan Cook said:

Evan Cook
...
What about Feliz in Texas?
 
January 10, 2010
Votes: +0
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Last Updated on Monday, 11 January 2010 00:12